Odds of Bitcoin dropping below $100K by 2026 spike to 60%
The probability that Bitcoin (BTC) will fall below $100,000 before the start of 2026 has surged on crypto prediction platform Polymarket, reflecting growing bearish sentiment after a turbulent week for digital assets. The market, which poses the question “Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?” , has seen odds spike from 47% on September 25 to 60% at the time of publication. Bitcoin betting odds for end of 2026. Source: Polymarket Earlier this week, when Bitcoin traded above $117,000, the same contract carried just a 44% chance, with confidence eroding just as quickly as price momentum fades. BTC price analysis Bitcoin now trades at $108,950, down more than 2% on the day and over 6% on the week. A red week in a move reflects broader weakness across the crypto market, which has suffered nearly $150 billion in market cap losses in the last 24 hours amid a wave of liquidations and risk-off flows. Polymarket data shows that the total betting volume on t...